Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025552 0.030766 0.036235 0.042354 0.048970 0.055872 0.063580
2025-12-28 0.019684 0.027314 0.035845 0.045896 0.057240 0.069502 0.083623
2026-01-04 0.013483 0.021925 0.032019 0.044498 0.059117 0.075382 0.094554
2026-01-11 0.010196 0.019222 0.030664 0.045361 0.063057 0.083143 0.107196
2026-01-18 0.007553 0.016761 0.029156 0.045661 0.066025 0.089540 0.118067
2026-01-25 0.005580 0.014780 0.027942 0.046061 0.068899 0.095657 0.128468
2026-02-01 0.003908 0.012826 0.026480 0.045925 0.070947 0.100667 0.137468
2026-02-08 0.002163 0.010123 0.023586 0.043633 0.070100 0.102053 0.142077
2026-02-15 0.001226 0.008512 0.022057 0.042993 0.071199 0.105677 0.149235
2026-02-22 0.000728 0.007606 0.021495 0.043597 0.073827 0.111114 0.158509
2026-03-01 0.000392 0.006857 0.021079 0.044335 0.076581 0.116670 0.167899
2026-03-08 0.000216 0.006461 0.021210 0.045828 0.080303 0.123410 0.178703
2026-03-15 0.000053 0.005706 0.020674 0.046419 0.082978 0.129053 0.188459
2026-03-22 0.000046 0.006104 0.022351 0.050382 0.090243 0.140519 0.205375
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004793 0.020539 0.048954 0.090170 0.142727 0.211004
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004303 0.020282 0.049867 0.093249 0.148892 0.221447
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003708 0.019682 0.050183 0.095472 0.153945 0.230510
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003202 0.019179 0.050603 0.097806 0.159119 0.239706
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002630 0.018372 0.050460 0.099310 0.163199 0.247529
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001712 0.016305 0.048052 0.097504 0.162927 0.249886
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001246 0.015307 0.047379 0.098122 0.165762 0.256079
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001034 0.015067 0.048014 0.100617 0.171042 0.265322
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000866 0.014917 0.048791 0.103308 0.176575 0.274878